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Porter’s Not-As-Completely Irrelevant As You Thought Draft Analysis

Breaking: As Jason points out, I may actually be good at this.

porter analysis

Porter’s Analysis in 2016 was 43% correct if you take out his own bias. (Credit: Jason)

bill murray

Alright, here we go again.

Back by popular demand, here is my 2017 team-by-team draft analysis.

The Commish
Budget $200
1. (1) Andrew Luck (Ind – QB) $5
2. (13) Mark Ingram (NO – RB) $29
3. (25) Darren McFadden (Dal – RB) $12
4. (37) Julio Jones (Atl – WR) $60
5. (49) Doug Baldwin (Sea – WR) $41
6. (61) Stefon Diggs (Min – WR) $15
7. (73) Delanie Walker (Ten – TE) $5
8. (85) New England (NE – DEF) $1
9. (97) Philip Rivers (LAC – QB) $4
10. (109) Tyrell Williams (LAC – WR) $1
11. (121) Jacquizz Rodgers (TB – RB) $7
12. (133) Ted Ginn Jr. (NO – WR) $7
13. (145) Darren Sproles (Phi – RB) $6
14. (157) Jamaal Charles (Den – RB) $2
15. (169) Paul Richardson (Sea – WR) $5

So I went into the draft with a David Johnson strategy and a non-David Johnson strategy. My non-DJ strategy — which came into effect when Tepel went to $70 — was to acquire both Odell and Julio. However, when AB went for $59 and Goodman bid up Odell to $63, I pussed out and settled for Doug Baldwin as my WR2 — a solid, underrated WR I do like.

Other than that, I accomplished what I wanted to. I think I’ll be able to find two reliable PPR backs out of Ingram, Rodgers, McFadden, and Sproles on a weekly basis to combine with strong WR play. 

With Luck/Rivers and Walker, I am stronger at QB and TE than I thought I’d be.

Grade: B

Strength: Pass catchers and QB upside

Weakness: RB

X-Factor: Andrew Luck $5

Best value pick: Tyrell Williams $1

Read More…

Potential 2018 Keeper Note

  • Mike LaRose drafted Corey Coleman for $4, not Cody Core. It was inputted into the system wrong.

2017 Keepers Announced

keeper

Scott: RB Le’Veon Bell, $59

Blake: RB Melvin Gordon, $25

Phil: RB Jordan Howard, $20

LaRose: RB DeMarco Murray, $17

Porter: WR Stefon Diggs, $15

Jason: RB Jay Ajayi, $14

Goldberg: RB Theo Riddick, $12

No Keeper:

Tepel

Stan

Damien

Linto

Goodman

2017 Fantasy Season Notes

Our 16th SEASON!

It feels like this has kind of sneaked up on us a little bit this year, but IT’S TIME TO GET FUCKING EXCITED.

excited

FANTASY FOOTBALL IS BACK.

Here’s what you need to know for the start of the 2017 season.

  • Text me your keeper by Friday, August 18th at 12pm 
    • Each manager may keep up to (1) keeper for the following season at $10 above said player’s drafted price
    • All undrafted drafted players assume a value of $10 and can be kept for $20
    • You can view last year’s draft results here
  • The Draft will be on Sunday, August 20th at 4:30pm (don’t be late)
    • Location: Stan’s apartment in Northern Liberties by the Piazza (109 W Wildey St, Philadelphia, PA 19123; APT 209)
    • Linto will be Skyping in from the West Coast
    • National Anthem: Porter
    • Trophy handoff: From Tepel to LaRose
    • Entry fee will be 200. Please venmo if possible (@And_Porter). Or bring cash.
  • Things to think about that have been tossed around (remember, we’re always trying to improve:
    • Adding a second keeper
    • Adding the option to keep a player for 2 consecutive years
    • Eliminating the defense position

Top 3 Aldo’s Pizzarama Leaderboard

  1. Tepel
  2. Snake
  3. LaRose

Check out the full leaderboard here

Ps. There has been a big auction draft boom in the Fantasy Football community, as people are finally starting to realize how much better an auction is than a snake draft. We were about 5 years ahead of the curve. Despite real shit in our lives getting more important, this league is still awesome. Don’t ever forget that.

Hit up the group chat with any questions.

See you all next weekend.

Love,
The Commish

LaRose Wins His 2nd Title

 

zeke

This was LaRose’s second career title and first ever first place finish. He catapults into 3rd place in the Aldo’s Pizzarama Leaderboard with 1,485 points behind only Blake (1,552.5) and Tepel (2,377.5).

Read More HERE

Porter: My Completely Irrelevant, But Highly Anticipated Preseason Analysis

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You talkin’ to me?

As much as you guys love this, is as much I hate it. But I gotta give the people what they want.

This was our fourth auction and it was pretty buttoned up. No one finished with significant unused money and there weren’t many head-scratching buys (save Tavon Austin for $16).

Read ’em and weep, boys.

Porter

A-Robbed
Budget $200
1. (2) Kirk Cousins (Was – QB) $2
2. (14) Duke Johnson Jr. (Cle – RB) $17
3. (26) Jeremy Langford (Chi – RB) $17
4. (38) Donte Moncrief (Ind – WR) $11
5. (50) Golden Tate (Det – WR) $28
6. (62) Will Tye (NYG – TE) $1
7. (74) Alshon Jeffery (Chi – WR) $45
8. (86) Buffalo (Buf – DEF) $3
9. (98) Allen Robinson (Jax – WR) $54
10. (110) T.J. Yeldon (Jax – RB) $5
11. (122) Chris Thompson (Was – RB) $3
12. (134) Torrey Smith (SF – WR) $5
13. (146) Jerick McKinnon (Min – RB) $5
14. (158) Jermaine Kearse (Sea – WR) $1
15. (170) James Starks (GB – RB) $3

I broke Yahoo’s projection computer! I went WR heavy, loading up with what I think will be four top-20 WRs (Robinson, Jeffrey, Tate, and Moncrief). I obviously cannot start all four, but I’m not worried about that right now.

I think Kirk Cousins is for real at QB. I took a shot on some deep sleeper tight ends (Virgil Green, Will Tye), and have loaded up with pass-catching running backs with stand-alone value who may pop if the RB they share a backfield with goes down at any point.

Grade: A (BIASED!)

Strength: WR / Depth

Weakness: RB

X-Factor: Chris Thompson

Best value pick: T.J. Yeldon, $5

Mike Larose

Sandusky’s Showers
Budget $200
1. (1) Aaron Rodgers (GB – QB) $21
2. (13) DeMarco Murray (Ten – RB) $7
3. (25) Ezekiel Elliott (Dal – RB) $46
4. (37) Brandon Marshall (NYJ – WR) $43
5. (49) DeSean Jackson (Was – WR) $8
6. (61) Jimmy Graham (Sea – TE) $3
7. (73) Amari Cooper (Oak – WR) $42
8. (85) Carolina (Car – DEF) $2
9. (97) Jonathan Stewart (Car – RB) $14
10. (109) Derek Carr (Oak – QB) $3
11. (121) Vincent Jackson (TB – WR) $3
12. (133) Chris Ivory (Jax – RB) $5
13. (145) Jason Witten (Dal – TE) $1
14. (157) C.J. Spiller (NO – RB) $1
15. (169) Mike Wallace (Bal – WR) $1

I really like what Shmike did here. Solid lineup throughout, with a strong WR trio of Brandon Marshall, Amari Cooper, and DeSean Jackson.

Ezekiel Elliott is going to be a stud and potential TD machine in Dallas. And while I don’t love DeMarco Murray as his RB2, LaRose has Jonathan Stewart and Chris Ivory as potential replacements.

Grade: A-

Strength: Balanced

Weakness: TE

X-Factor: Jonathan Stewart

Best value pick: Vincent Jackson, $3

Read More…

2016 Keepers

keepers

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) — The 2016 keepers were announced on Thursday.

Four managers have decided to not keep any player, while eight managers have chosen their 2016 keeper.

Andrew Tepel – David Johnson, $13

Went with Johnson over Jordy Nelson for $11. Tough choice, but not that tough. DJ is often regarded as the No. 1 RB in Fantasy Football this year.

Scott Kret – Josh Gordon, $11

The four-game suspension from Gordon makes this one interesting. Gordon’s upside is undoubted, but with his suspension combined with the danger of him smoking weed at any time during the season, I’m not sure Gordon wouldn’t have gone for around $11-$15 in the draft.

Stan – Thomas Rawls, $11

One of the toughest decisions to make, Stan went with Rawls over Allen Robinson for $31. I know he wrestled with this quite a bit, but ultimately chose the value play at RB vs. paying for the stud at WR.

Porter – Donte Moncrief, $11

Thought about Amari Cooper for $27 a ton, but couldn’t resist a potential top-20 WR for $11.

Damien – Todd Gurley, $17

An easy decision for Damien, snagged a top-five back for less than $20.

Linto – Devonta Freeman, $17

Freeman was last year’s Fantasy MVP and has RB1 upside.

Snake – Marvin Jones, $12

Snake decides to go with the Detroit Lions’ No. 2 receiver here. For $12, in a high-volume passing attack, Jones should at least return value for Snake.

Phil – Kelvin Benjamin, $11

A little risky here, with Benjamin coming off an ACL tear. Nevertheless, for just $11, if Benjamin can get back to 2014 status in the Carolina offense, it will pay dividends for Phil.

Mike Goldberg – Cam Newton, $11

The NFL MVP and unquestioned No. 1 QB for just $11. Brooks even approves.

 

Others:

Dion Lewis‘ injury prevented Jason Goodman from keeping him for $11. Goodman thought about Julian Edelman for $26. Mike Larose would have likely kept Stefon Diggs for $11, but then Teddy Bridgewater suffered a season-ending knee injury. I believe he thought about Carson Palmer for $11, too.